Recession, Stock Market, Rolex Watches, and Electric SUVs

Wednesday morning articles

  • The Bulls’ Worst Recession Fear: There Won’t Be One: There is justification now to go against Wall Street’s consensus forecast that 2023 is certain to bring a recession. The corollary is that the Federal Reserve will reverse course, begin to ease monetary policy, and power a new bull market. The strongest support for this scenario is the yield curve, the trace of yields on Treasury securities across maturities. (Barron’s)

  • After $18 Trillion Rout, Global Stocks Face More Hurdles in 2023: Recession, rate hikes risk spurring earnings slowdown in 2023 Question marks remain over how Big Tech and China will fare. (Bloomberg)

  • Over a Decade, Rolex Watches Outperformed the Stock Market: The investment return of Rolexes was higher than real estate, the stock market, or even gold over a 10-year period, from 2011 to 2021, according to Paul Altieri, founder and CEO of Bob’s Watches, an online marketplace for the resale of watches, with a focus on Rolexes. (Barron’s)

  • The 2023 outlook research report dump: Knock yourselves out (FT Alphaville) see also  Big Banks Predict Recession, Fed Pivot in 2023: More than two-thirds of economists at 23 major financial institutions expect the U.S. to have a downturn this year (Wall Street Journal

  • US Bond Performance Shows Fed Isn’t Behind the Curve: Contrary to popular belief, debt investors are growing more confident n the central bank’s ability to contain inflation. (Bloomberg)

  • 2023 Will Be the Year of the Electric SUV: A parade of cargo-friendly and affordable electric cars are coming next year, though it will still be tough to buy one. (Bloomberg)

  • Tesla’s worst year ever in the markets still leaves it an expensive auto stock: Even after this year’s record 65% drop, the electric-car maker’s meteoric surge during 2020 and 2021 has left it with stock-market value of $389 billion, more than Toyota Motor Corp., General Motors Co., Stellantis NV and Ford Motor Co. combined. (Fortune)

  • How the marijuana ‘green rush’ fell apart: A cannabis glut in several states has depressed prices for legal pot, pushing small businesses into turmoil. (Washington Post)

  • Why Petulant Oligarchs Rule Our World. When an immensely rich man, accustomed not just to getting whatever he wants but also to being a much-admired icon, finds himself not just losing his aura but becoming a subject of widespread ridicule, of course he lashes out erratically, and in so doing makes his problems even worse. (New York Times) see also Get

  • The Most Dangerous People on the Internet in 2022: From SBF to the GRU, these were the most disruptive forces of online chaos this year. (Wired)

The Stock Market Rally, Big Oil, and Hangover Cures

Tuesday morning articles

  • 22 Things That Made the World a Better Place in 2022: From spinal implants that allow paralyzed people to walk to smashing an asteroid off course with a rocket, this wasn’t just a year of negative headlines. (Wired)

  • For U.S. Stocks, 2022 Is a Year With Almost No Record Highs: The S&P 500 finishes 2022 with just one record close, the lowest tally since 2012. (Wall Street Journal

  • The Year the Long Stock Market Rally Ended: How fast inflation and high interest rates upended markets across the globe. (New York Times)

  • We’re in the second biggest home price correction of the post-WWII era—here’s the latest data: For 124 consecutive months, spanning the bottom of the previous bust in February 2012 to the top of the Pandemic Housing Boom in June 2022, the seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller National Home Price Index reported positive home price growth. Now we’re in a new streak: Four consecutive months of U.S. home price declines. (Fortune)

  • Is Big Oil’s Renewable Energy Push Credible—and Good for Investors? Exxon and its kin were laggard stocks for a long time, but now they enjoy flush revenue and strong share prices. The bet: Their clean fuels may give them better stability. (CIO)

  • In a Bad Year for Stocks, Tesla Plunged 65%: Investors blame Elon Musk and wonder how much more the stock will fall. (New York Times)

  • These historic works are coming free from copyright. Why did it take so long? “They’re out of copyright arguments,” says Jennifer Jenkins, director of the Center for the Study of the Public Domain at Duke University. Every year at about this time, Jenkins produces a list of creative works, classic and merely popular, that enter the public domain in the U.S. on New Year’s Day. (Los Angeles Times)

  • The Superiority Illusion: where everyone is above average:  Much as we all like to think we’re modest, most of us really aren’t. We might try to be humble and say “we’re just some guy, you know?”, but most often, we actually think we’re better than average. Maybe we think we’re smarter, or better looking, or nicer, or maybe even all of the above. And it turns out that thinking we’re above average (even though, statistically, only half of us CAN be above average) is actually good for us. (Scientific American)

  • Dangerous Minds: The legal world is slowly accepting that age 18—or 21—is not a magical moment of “adult” brain maturity. Are we ready for what that means? (Slate)

  • Tested Miracle Hangover Cures. You’re Welcome: Do “anti-hangover” supplements really work? With the sterling help of a UK rugby team, we raised a glass or five to find out. (Wired)

Ticket Master, Bond Market, and the Gamification of Everything

Friday morning articles

  • The sneaky economics of Ticketmaster: Ticketmaster’s maligned fees and customer service issues are again under the microscope. Will American music fans ever see anything better? (The Hustle)

  • What Is the Bond Market Saying About the Economy? The bond market is known for being much smarter than the stock market but we don’t have to go back very far to find a time when it was wrong. The bond market certainly DID NOT see the pandemic-induced inflation coming. (A Wealth of Common Sense)

  • After a Terrible Year for Bonds, the Outlook Is Better: October capped their worst 12-month period ever, and the economy is under pressure. Yet the fundamental math of bond returns bodes well for 2023, our columnist says. (New York Times)

  • Has private equity avoided the asset-price crash? No, but everyone is enjoying the charade. (Economist)

  • Survival Lessons From Past Tech Downturns: The current tech downturn could be much worse than it appears now, say those who lived through the 2001 and 2008 crashes—but those who make it have the chance to fuel the next bubble. (Wall Street Journal)

  • Gen Z came to ‘slay.’ Their bosses don’t know what that means. Gen Z’s use of emojis, slang and punctuation is confusing older colleagues as workplace communications are increasingly online. (Washington Post)

  • Apple Plans New Encryption System to Ward Off Hackers and Protect iCloud Data: ‘Advanced Data Protection’ will offer end-to-end encryption on iCloud backups, Notes, Photos and other services—a step that may draw ire from law enforcement. (Wall Street Journal)

  • We Might Have Long Covid All Wrong: Some post-Covid symptoms may be produced by the brain. Does that make them any less real? (New Republic)

  • The Tragedy of Avoidable Covid Deaths: Comprehensive new data show just how many Americans died after vaccines became widely available — mostly in less-vaccinated states. (Bloomberg)

  • The Gamification of Everything Is No Fun: Adrian Hon’s book “You’ve Been Played” warns against the abuses of game logic in work and politics. (Critical Mass)

  • Meet Tyson Bagent, record-setting NFL Draft hopeful and son of an arm-wrestling legend: His dad is one of the greatest arm wrestlers of all time. And, as of last Saturday, he is the NCAA’s all-time leader across all divisions in career touchdown passes, with 159. So, why do so few football fans know the name Tyson Bagent? (The Athletic)

Electric Cars, Public Transportation, and the Patriots Dynasty

Thursday morning articles

  • You’re Being Lied to About Electric Cars: Science has repeatedly shown EVs are better for humans, despite the meme you just retweeted. (MotorTrend)

  • A $100 Billion Lesson In Why Building Public Transportation Is So Expensive in the US: There’s a plan to spend $100 billion fixing the Northeast Corridor by 2035. Similar countries build entire new rail corridors with dozens of new stations for a fraction of that cost. Why can’t the U.S.? (Vice)

  • Your Wallet Is Being Drained by Subscriptions. Wall Street Thanks You. While most consumer habits are reverting back to normal, spending on subscriptions has remained well above prepandemic times. That’s partly because people are enjoying them—and partly because they keep forgetting to cancel. (Wall Street Journal)

  • Why does the US keep running out of medicine? America’s frequent drug shortages put patients’ health — and their lives — at risk. (Vox)

  • Why Is Everything So Ugly? The mid in fake midcentury modern (N+1)

  • TikTok’s Viral Challenges Keep Luring Young Kids to Their Deaths: Children are dying from the blackout challenge. Why isn’t the world’s most popular app doing more to protect them? (Businessweek)

  • Facing $1.44 billion judgment, Alex Jones filed for bankruptcy. Here’s what his filing says. The move is just the latest step in Jones’ efforts to restructure his assets amid his legal troubles. Conspiracy theory entrepreneur Alex Jones filed for personal Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on Friday, citing more than $1 billion in liabilities. (Grid)

  • Darkness on the edge of the Patriots dynasty: Death and distress haunt members of the 2001 title team. (Boston.com)

Crypto, Putin, and TikTok Stars

Wednesday morning articles

  • Tony Fadell Is Trying to Build the iPod of Crypto: The product guru made Ledger’s new hardware wallet—a tiny vault for digital cash—flashy and fun. Plus, with this gadget you’ll never get FTX’d. (Wired)

  • Bikeshare Roars Back From the Pandemic: The shared micromobility market has been resilient even as commuting patterns have shifted. But electric scooters have struggled — and costs are up for riders. (CityLab

  • The Exceptionally American Problem of Rising Roadway Deaths: Why other rich nations have surpassed the U.S. in protecting pedestrians, cyclists and motorists. (New York Times)

  • A week in the life of Vladimir Putin: Putin is often portrayed in the Western media as something of a cartoon villain. But he’s also a skillful politician who has used the state-run media, a pliant bureaucracy and brutal repression to dominate Russian politics so totally that he appears to have no significant opposition. For many in the West, he’s a figure of derision, even hatred. But at home, he retains a bedrock of popular support, even amid the Ukraine fiasco. (Washington Post)

  • Secretive Gulf Family’s $300 Billion Fortune Is About More Than Oil: The Al Nahyan family owns Manchester City Football Club, a dozen or so palaces and invested big in SpaceX and Savage X Fenty. (Bloomberg)

  • A Psychologist Spent Five Years Studying World Cup Penalty Shootouts: Every job requires performance under pressure. Here’s what everybody can learn from the most tense few minutes in sports. (Wall Street Journal)

  • This TikTok star makes up to $100,000 a month by asking the super-rich about their cars: When Macdonald began asking car owners what they did for a living, the Tucson native had just graduated from the University of Arizona with a finance degree and drove a 2011 Chevrolet Impala. He moved to Dallas, where he was training to become a financial consultant with Charles Schwab, earning an annual base salary of $45,000. He wasn’t much of a car guy but was impressed by the Ferraris he would see around his new city and wondered how their owners could afford such extravagance. (Los Angeles Times)

  • So You Want to Be a TikTok Star: The social-media platform is transforming the music industry. Is that a good thing? (New Yorker)

  • China’s Brute Force Economics: Waking Up from the Dream of a Level Playing Field:  The time has come for the United States and its allies to abandon the notion that competing on a level playing field with China’s state-led economy is possible and confront the reality of what she calls the country’s “brute force economics.” China’s tactics are not merely an assortment of cutthroat moves made by individual actors. Rather, they are features of Beijing’s long-term strategy and are backed up by the full force of the country’s party-state system, creating a challenge that Washington cannot afford to ignore. (Texas National Security Review)

  • How the Global Spyware Industry Spiraled Out of Control The market for commercial spyware — which allows governments to invade mobile phones and vacuum up data — is booming. Even the U.S. government is using it. (New York Times)

  • The quiet disappearance of the safe deposit box: Once revered as the safest way to store physical valuables, safe deposit boxes are now being phased out by major banks. The move is already starting to backfire. (The Hustle)

  • Life Is Hard. And That’s Good: When the going gets tough, the tough get philosophical. (Nautilus)

  • We’re in Denial About the True Cost of a Twitter Implosion: Elon Musk’s platform may be hell, but it’s also where huge amounts of reputational and social wealth are invested. All of that is in peril. (Wired)

  • Chris Hayes: Why I Want Twitter to Live: Unlike message boards that are segmented by interest (Reddit, for example), Twitter is a place where all kinds of perspectives and obscure expertise are instantly accessible and overlapping. (New York Times)

  • Planes, Trains and Automobiles at 35: An Oral History of One of the Most Beloved Road/Xmas Movies Ever Made: Starring Steve Martin and John Candy, the John Hughes road trip comedy had a nearly four-hour runtime at one point. Hear from cast, crew, and Hughes’ family about the classic. (Vanity Fair)

Electric Vehicles, FTX, and Crypto

Tuesday morning news drop

  • Rush to electric vehicles may be an expensive mistake, say climate strategists Move to replace fossil fuel fleet with EVs is essential, but there are things to do first (CBC)

  • The Cult of the Retail Trader Has Fizzled: The GameStop and AMC manias are long gone, with individual investor returns falling 40% this year and digital currency prices tumbling. (Businessweek)

  • FTX’s Bahamas Headquarters Was the First Clue: Bankman-Fried is just the latest in a long string of notorious characters who moved their business to the island nation, from the pirate Blackbeard to organized crime figures and assorted “financial wizards.” (Bloomberg) see

  • The Crypto Industry Struggles for a Way Forward: The implosion of the exchange FTX shows how an industry built in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis has drifted far from its original ideals. (New York Times)

  • So When Will Stocks and Bonds Un-Link? It’s a rarity for the two main asset classes, almost always negatively correlated, to perform a duet. Here’s what allocators can do about that. (CIO)

  • What’s Going On With the Housing Market? Home buyers and sellers are trying to make sense of a downturn that’s full of contradictions: Demand has seized up but supply is still low; prices are sliding but not plummeting; and no one can agree on what comes next. (Wall Street Journal)

  • How Web Platforms Collapse: The Facebook Case Study: (The Honest Broker)

  • If There Is a ‘Male Malaise’ With Work, Could One Answer Be at Sea? As concerns about labor force participation among American men mount, maritime transportation firms are desperate for new mariners. (New York Times)

  • What Ukraine’s Drone Strike Deep in Russian Territory Means: This is a turning point, especially in showing Russia’s vulnerability. (Slate)

  • We’re in Denial About the True Cost of a Twitter Implosion: Elon Musk’s platform may be hell, but it’s also where huge amounts of reputational and social wealth are invested. All of that is in peril. (Wired)

  • Chris Hayes: Why I Want Twitter to Live: Unlike message boards that are segmented by interest (Reddit, for example), Twitter is a place where all kinds of perspectives and obscure expertise are instantly accessible and overlapping. (New York Times)

Canadian Household Debt, Investments, and Kanye West

Monday morning articles

  • Canadian households now owe $1.83 for every dollar of disposable income they have Canadians have $2 trillion in mortgage debt and $722 billion worth of other types of debt (CBC)

  • Mutual Funds That Consistently Beat the Market? Not One of 2,132. No actively managed stock or bond funds outperformed the market convincingly and regularly over the last five years. Index funds have generally been better. (New York Times)

  • BlackRock Has Been Targeted by a Political Attack-Style Campaign for Being ‘Woke.’ The Asset Manager is Undeterred. Simply stated, WOKE = Marketing (Institutional Investor)

  • Why the GOP Will Lose Its War on ‘Woke Wall Street’ Republicans can’t accept that they dislike modern capitalism, so they’re blaming “ESG” instead. (New York Magazine)

  • Looney Tunes is not macroeconomics: Wile E. Coyote is not a serious forecast. It is not how we should think about 2023. (Stay-At-Home Macro)

  • Goldman’s guide to the rest of your life:What Goldman Sachs has attempted in a new report imaginatively titled ‘The Path to 2075’. This updates long-term growth predictions made in 2003 and 2011, primarily about the prospects for the BRICs economies (a name famously coined by Jim O’Neill, Goldman’s head of economic research when the first report came out). (Financial Times Alphaville)

  • The Button That Could Have Changed the Internet: The “Oh, Yeah?” button, it should be noted, was not truly about verifying information or locating “truth.” Berners-Lee wasn’t suggesting that ontological certitude would arise from the web mob’s ranking of websites that distributed the most accurate information. Rather, the “Oh, Yeah?” button would suggest a more paradigmatic truth—that is, a reasonable approximation of whether something you read on the web was considered generally in the realm of credible by most people. (Slate)

  • Dispatch from Kherson: Inside Ukraine’s battle to win the infrastructure war: Russia is waging a war on infrastructure. Ukrainian civilians are working 24/7 to repair the damage. (Grid)

  • Why The Sanctions Against Russia Aren’t Working. Yet. But Russia has not been brought to its knees. Far from it: forecasters say Russian GDP for 2022 will likely fall, but only about 3.3−3.4 percent. Inflation, meanwhile, will likely end the year at roughly 12 percent: bad, but not close to as painful as predicted. And foreign direct investment? Estimates say it will fall by a mere 1 percent. Meanwhile, the war in Ukraine grinds on. (NPR)

  • How the Kanye West Subreddit Finally Turned on Kanye West: Having witnessing Ye’s yearslong escalation from “dragon energy” mantras to open Hitler worship, many of these former stans are finally ready to leave their onetime idol behind—though not “the friends we made along the way,” as r/Kanye moderator Clement Leveau put it to me. “Kanye brought all of us together, but we don’t identify with him anymore.” (Slate)

Wallstreet Outlook, FTX, ETFs, and The Liver King

Friday morning articles

  • Wall Street’s 2023 Outlook for Stocks: There’s hundreds of pages of research and analysis that come with these strategists’ forecast. The general themes: Most Wall Street firms expect the U.S. economy to go into recession some time in 2023. Many believe forecasts for 2023 earnings have more room to get cut, and some believe those downward revisions mean lots of volatility for stocks in the early part of 2023. (TKer)

  • Cutting-edge tech made this tiny country a major exporter of food: The Netherlands has used advances in vertical farming, seed technology and robotics to become a global model. (Washington Post)

  • The dirty road to clean energy: how China’s electric vehicle boom is ravaging the environment (Rest Of World)

  • Green Factories Are Changing Minds in More Conservative US States: At least $25.7 billion of clean-energy factories are in the works, and the jobs they generate are winning over more Americans to solar, batteries and EVs. (Bloomberg)

  • How can you tell if the company you’re interviewing with is rotten on the inside? How can you tell the companies who are earnestly trying to improve apart from the ones who sound all polished and healthy from the outside, whilst rotting on the inside? (Charity WTF)

  • Where Does All the Cardboard Come From? I Had to Know: I Had to Know. Entire forests and enormous factories running 24/7 can barely keep up with demand. This is how the cardboard economy works. (New York Times Magazine)

  • The Myth of the 25-Year-Old Brain: A powerful idea about human development stormed pop culture and changed how we see one another. It’s mostly bunk. (Slate)

  • The Sunset: There are plenty of reasons to see nursing homes as sad, neglectful places. There are also reasons to see them as something else entirely. (Longreads)

  • How centuries-old whaling logs are filling gaps in our climate knowledge: Whalers from the 18th and 19th centuries are helping 21st Century scientists on climate change. (Grist)

  • A Bestiary of Loss: According to many ecologists, we are in the midst of a new mass extinction event. And unlike any other in the Earth’s 4.54 billion year history, this one is caused by a single species of primate: humans. (Public Domain Review)

  • It’s Public Land. But the Public Can’t Reach It. A navigation app that illuminates public land within privately held property has supercharged the question of who gets to go where. (New York Times)

  • An engineering marvel just saved Venice from a flood. What about when seas rise? Three years ago, a historic rush of water surged into this city, inundating restaurants and churches, tossing boats onto streets, and leaving Venetians distressed about a future with ever more extreme events. But this past week, one of those events arrived — a tide nearly as large as 2019’s — and residents barely noticed. The city was spared from disaster because of a $6 billion engineering project designed to protect Venice from mass flooding and the exhausting cycle of cleanup and recovery. (Washington Post)

  • Building Fast and Slow: The Empire State Building and the World Trade Center (Part I) The Empire State Building was completed in 1931. At a height of 1250 feet, it was the world’s tallest building, exceeding the recently completed Chrysler building by 202 feet. It would hold that title for the next 39 years, until 1970 when it was surpassed in height by another New York skyscraper, the under-construction World Trade Center, which would reach a height of 1368 feet on the North Tower. (Construction Physics)

  • The dirty road to clean energy: how China’s electric vehicle boom is ravaging the environment: In neighboring Indonesia, nickel extraction is causing environmental and social devastation. (Rest Of World)

  • Fossil fuel industry dupes media, quietly funds non-profits to block renewable energy: Its not wealthy residents blocking clean energy development, its groups funded by a far-right think tank that receives funding from fossil fuel companies and billionaires. (Popular Information)

  • Here Come the Crypto Hypocrites: Don’t believe anyone who says the FTX crash was the regulators’ fault. (The Atlantic)

  • Let crypto burn: Just say no to legitimacy-inferring regulation. (Financial Times Alphaville)

  • Elon Musk gambled big on Twitter. Tesla is going to pay the price. So now the question becomes: How does Musk keep his new purchase afloat? Having observed Musk in action for years there is one troubling option I suspect he may pursue: raid Tesla. But siphoning cash from Tesla, Musk’s only profitable company, just as serious competition is toppling its dominance, should concern Tesla’s investors. And given his obsession with Twitter, they may well ask: How far will Elon go to save Twitter at Tesla’s expense? (Business Insider)

  • The (American) age of ETFs: Rocky markets have meant that this is a bad year for fund launches in general, with only 576 open-ended funds inaugurated in 2022, according to Morningstar. That is the lowest in at least a decade. But the ETF keeps gobbling up market share. So far this year there have been 407 ETFs launched in the US compared just 169 other types of open-ended funds — smashing past the previous record. (Financial Times Alphaville) see also How a Basket of ETFs Mimicked the Performance of Top Hedge Funds: Research shows how allocators can benefit from the thinking of top managers, without the high costs and other downsides. (Institutional Investor)

  • The best financial strategies for surviving a recession in 2023 from 3 top advisers: The past 12 months featured some relatively grim milestones—including the highest inflation in four decades and the first truly durable bear market since the Great Recession. That concatenation of bad news poses two challenges for investing pros. (Fortune)

  • 11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall Billions of dollars of customer money is missing, investigators are circling, and the 30-year-old ex-CEO admits his company broke its own rules. (Businessweek)

  • A forgotten banking scandal suggests FTX is the tip of the crypto iceberg: Fraud, money laundering, and corruption on a global scale, yet regulators seem asleep at the wheel. This has happened before… (Dirty Bubble Media)

  • ‘Planes, Trains and Automobiles’ at 35: An Oral History of One of the Most Beloved Road Movies Ever Made. Starring Steve Martin and John Candy, the John Hughes road trip comedy had a nearly four-hour runtime at one point. Hear from cast, crew, and Hughes’ family about the classic. (Vanity Fair)

  • Arrives late, pours your wine and eats onions – 56 dating red flags that should send you running: Our guide to the bad signs you can’t afford to ignore. (The Guardian)

  • Who Could Have Possibly Predicted The Liver King Guy Was Juicing? Having read all that, would you be surprised to learn that this guy is extremely lying about the source of his pneumatic physique? Johnson has defended his nattyness on a bunch of the aforementioned dumb-guy podcasts, joking, “I’ll be honest, I take PEDs: I prioritize, execute and dominate every fucking morning.” (Defector)

Higher Interest Rates, FTX, and Anthony Bourdain

Thursday morning articles

  • A year of pain: investors struggle in a new era of higher rates: Twelve months after Jay Powell called an end to super-cheap money, fund managers are still adjusting to a very different environment. (Financial Times Alphaville)

  • A Missing Piece of the SBF Puzzle: In a range of interviews and Twitter threads (see links and excerpts below), SBF explained that he approached financial decisions with little or no aversion to risk. That’s a valid personal choice, but it’s highly unusual. In our own experience, we’ve never met anyone who made important financial decisions consistent with being anywhere in the ballpark of zero risk aversion. (Elm)

  • Why Isn’t the Whole World Rich? The question of why some countries join the developed world while others remain in poverty has vexed economists for decades. What makes it so hard to answer? (Asterisk)

  • Here’s what employers are cutting instead of your job: You may get to keep your job, but you might lose your Zoom and your desk. (Vox)

  • Anti-Woke Republicans Aren’t Making Business Sense on Climate: The GOP’s opposition to meaningful climate policy is increasingly at odds with corporate pragmatism. (Bloomberg)

  • Is China heading toward another Tiananmen Square moment? How a deadly fire in Xinjiang ignited a nationwide protest against zero-covid in China. (Grid)

  • When Visiting Michelangelo’s David, She Brings a Duster: The revered statue in Italy is not going to dust itself. That’s where Eleonora Pucci comes in. (New York Times)

  • What if everything is going to be OK? The severity of the global financial crisis left deep emotional and intellectual scars on everyone who went through it. Since then a lot of people have been desperate to identify the next big economic faultline, the next CDO, the next financial cataclysm to befall us. Some permabears have managed to turn their apocalyptic visions into lucrative careers. (Financial Times)

  • FTX’s Collapse Was a Crime, Not an Accident Sam Bankman-Fried is a con man and fraudster of historic proportions. But you might not learn that from the New York Times, CoinDesk’s Chief Insights Columnist David Z. Morris writes. (CoinDesk)

  • A Cloud Startup Wants to Be a Crystal Ball for Farmers Everywhere: India’s Cropin aims to boost agricultural efficiency by helping growers know what to plant and when to sow, water and fertilize.  (Businessweek)

  • Megalopolis: how coastal west Africa will shape the coming century: By the end of the century, Africa will be home to 40% of the world’s population – and nowhere is this breakneck-pace development happening faster than this 600-mile stretch between Abidjan and Lagos. (The Guardian)

  • ‘He was fast … he ran you right over’: what it’s like to get hit by an SUV: One Thursday afternoon, I stepped out to cross a city street – and woke up in hospital with broken bones and a brain injury. After I recovered, I started looking into why so many drivers just don’t stop (The Guardian)

  • What Kind of Man Was Anthony Bourdain? He was so damaged, and yet he showed us so much of the world. (The Atlantic)

FTX and Investing Scams, and Soccer Balls

Wednesday morning articles

  • How Much Growth Can You Expect? Imagine I present to you a magical box that can turn your money into more money. The only problem is that you don’t know exactly how much more money you’ll get from this box. You could put $100 into the box and get back $200, $400, or maybe only $150 when all is said and done. Also, there’s one final catch—you have to wait many decades for this extra money to materialize. The box needs time to work its magic after all. Given this information, would you use the box? (Of Dollars And Data)

  • Why going into work five days a week is a thing of the past: “You can either try to figure out flex arrangements now or you can battle your employees for the next 5 to 10 years and then pay a consultant a lot of money to help you figure out what you should have started figuring out five to 10 years ago.” (CNN)

  • These Young Workers Are ‘Romanticizing’ the Return to Office: As many others chafe against employer mandates, creators on TikTok — some new to the work force — are trying to show that the office can be fun. (New York Times)

  • Why America Doesn’t Have Enough EV Charging Stations: Gas stations spar with utility companies, rural areas predict years of losses on chargers, spotty equipment threatens reliability: The U.S. EV charging network is a mess. (Wall Street Journal)

    It’s not your imagination: Shopping on Amazon has gotten worse:  The first page of Amazon results includes an average of about nine sponsored listings, according to a study of 70 search terms conducted in 2020 and 2021 by data firm Profitero. That was twice as many ads as Walmart displayed, and four times as many as Target. (Washington Post)

  • There’s a Job-Market Riddle at the Heart of the Coming Recession: Tech giants and banks are already cutting workers, but many employers seem desperate to keep hiring. (Bloomberg)

  • FTX And The Rise Of Investment Scams: How To Guard Yourself: The collapse of cryptocurrency exchange FTX has triggered investigations. Aspects of the scandal are reminders that complaints of investment swindles are soaring. The good news? You can protect yourself by taking five precautionary steps.(Investor’s Business Daily)

  • She Was a Little-Known Crypto Trader. Then FTX Collapsed. Caroline Ellison, who ran the cryptocurrency trading firm Alameda Research, has found herself at the center of Sam Bankman-Fried’s collapsed crypto empire. (New York Times)

  • Robot Landlords Are Buying Up Houses: Companies with deep resources are outsourcing management to apps and algorithms, putting home ownership further out of reach. (Vice)

  • This Is Where Most of the World’s Soccer Balls Come From: Sialkot, a city in northeast Pakistan, produces about 70% of the world’s supply—including Adidas’s Al Rihla, the official ball of the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar. (Businessweek)